Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Strait Innovation Internet Co., Ltd. (300300.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.65 - $0.99$0.81
Multi-Stage$1.47 - $1.61$1.54
Blended Fair Value$1.17
Current Price$4.94
Upside-76.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.22%18.33%0.100.060.050.040.050.080.060.060.090.05
YoY Growth--55.85%35.12%3.93%-4.85%-38.07%25.21%7.48%-39.36%75.27%191.68%
Dividend Yield--3.35%1.99%0.95%0.77%1.22%0.90%0.47%0.42%0.70%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.105.063.04
Cash Retained (M)6.196.196.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.10-5.06-3.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.911.133.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)567.17567.17567.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.65$0.81$0.99
Upside / Downside-86.90%-83.63%-79.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.4840.0739.6739.2838.8838.5039.65
Payout Ratio84.72%85.77%86.83%87.89%88.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.2934.3734.4534.5234.5934.6536.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)31.9132.2332.56
Year 2 PV (M)29.6830.2930.90
Year 3 PV (M)27.6128.4629.33
Year 4 PV (M)25.6726.7427.83
Year 5 PV (M)23.8725.1126.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)693.12729.22766.80
Equity Value (M)831.86872.05913.83
Shares Outstanding (M)567.17567.17567.17
Fair Value$1.47$1.54$1.61
Upside / Downside-70.31%-68.88%-67.38%

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