Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hanwei Electronics Group Corporation (300007.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.11 - $5.30$4.06
Multi-Stage$3.69 - $4.03$3.86
Blended Fair Value$3.96
Current Price$63.57
Upside-93.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.38%19.12%0.220.200.180.180.170.180.210.150.140.11
YoY Growth--13.94%11.13%-3.97%10.30%-7.63%-13.12%36.03%6.72%29.67%183.90%
Dividend Yield--0.60%1.22%0.95%0.96%1.07%1.39%1.36%1.02%0.76%0.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.3510.226.13
Cash Retained (M)41.4641.4641.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.35-10.22-6.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.1231.2535.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)333.08333.08333.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.210.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate2.38%3.38%4.38%
Fair Value$3.11$4.06$5.30
Upside / Downside-95.12%-93.62%-91.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.7384.4987.3490.2993.3496.4999.39
Payout Ratio49.27%57.42%65.56%73.71%81.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.2748.5157.2666.5576.4086.8591.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate2.38%3.38%4.38%
Year 1 PV (M)44.1444.5745.00
Year 2 PV (M)47.4048.3349.27
Year 3 PV (M)50.1251.6053.12
Year 4 PV (M)52.3554.4356.56
Year 5 PV (M)54.1456.8459.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)979.811,028.611,079.33
Equity Value (M)1,227.961,284.381,342.92
Shares Outstanding (M)333.08333.08333.08
Fair Value$3.69$3.86$4.03
Upside / Downside-94.20%-93.93%-93.66%

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