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Lotte Innovate Co Ltd (286940.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,363.52 - $9,749.15$7,944.23
Multi-Stage$14,079.83 - $15,450.72$14,752.02
Blended Fair Value$11,348.13
Current Price$21,650.00
Upside-47.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS10.26%0.00%1,000.60700.42700.42700.42700.42614.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--42.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.62%1.86%2.64%1.82%1.84%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,662.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,590.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,132.571,332.86799.72
Cash Retained (M)72.3172.3172.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,132.57-1,332.86-799.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,060.26-1,260.55-727.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.1215.1215.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-136.26-83.37-48.11
LTM Dividend per Share700.42700.42700.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share-136.26-83.37-48.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend564.16617.05652.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.88%-0.88%0.12%
Fair Value$6,363.52$7,944.23$9,749.15
Upside / Downside-70.61%-63.31%-54.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,662.8710,569.5010,476.9510,385.2010,294.2610,204.1210,510.24
Payout Ratio99.32%97.46%95.59%93.73%91.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,590.5610,300.7610,015.249,733.929,456.769,183.719,721.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-1.88%-0.88%0.12%
Year 1 PV (M)9,545.509,642.789,740.06
Year 2 PV (M)8,600.418,776.608,954.58
Year 3 PV (M)7,745.957,985.208,229.31
Year 4 PV (M)6,973.637,262.287,559.80
Year 5 PV (M)6,275.726,602.096,941.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)173,749.40182,785.24192,193.15
Equity Value (M)212,890.61223,054.18233,618.80
Shares Outstanding (M)15.1215.1215.12
Fair Value$14,079.83$14,752.02$15,450.72
Upside / Downside-34.97%-31.86%-28.63%

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