Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sempio Foods Company (248170.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24,202.64 - $36,326.02$29,944.52
Multi-Stage$46,037.51 - $50,727.64$48,336.34
Blended Fair Value$39,140.43
Current Price$26,450.00
Upside47.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%199.92199.91199.91199.91199.92199.90202.96196.780.00198.38
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%-1.51%3.14%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%0.72%0.70%0.45%0.42%0.83%0.68%0.50%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,180.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)912.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,267.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,636.191,647.62988.57
Cash Retained (M)12,267.9812,267.9812,267.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,636.19-1,647.62-988.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,631.7910,620.3711,279.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.574.574.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,109.112,325.592,469.90
LTM Dividend per Share199.92199.92199.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,109.112,325.592,469.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,309.032,525.502,669.82
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$24,202.64$29,944.52$36,326.02
Upside / Downside-8.50%13.21%37.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,180.9513,049.1412,918.6512,789.4612,661.5712,534.9512,911.00
Payout Ratio6.93%23.54%40.16%56.77%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)912.973,071.915,187.597,260.659,291.7311,281.4611,942.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,832.692,861.602,890.50
Year 2 PV (M)4,411.104,501.584,592.98
Year 3 PV (M)5,693.075,869.146,048.79
Year 4 PV (M)6,718.286,996.737,283.73
Year 5 PV (M)7,521.737,913.408,321.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)183,064.94192,597.56202,523.21
Equity Value (M)210,241.82220,740.00231,660.44
Shares Outstanding (M)4.574.574.57
Fair Value$46,037.51$48,336.34$50,727.64
Upside / Downside74.05%82.75%91.79%

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