Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gurunavi, Inc. (2440.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.36 - $4.27$3.85
Multi-Stage$8.10 - $9.02$8.55
Blended Fair Value$6.20
Current Price$221.00
Upside-97.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-19.90%-20.16%1.912.700.830.003.315.7922.2836.2936.1427.32
YoY Growth---29.41%225.80%21,541.47%-99.88%-42.79%-74.01%-38.61%0.41%32.28%50.70%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.88%0.24%0.00%0.61%0.78%3.31%4.00%1.98%0.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.4211.516.91
Cash Retained (M)38.0838.0838.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.42-11.51-6.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.6626.5731.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)56.5756.5756.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.470.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.470.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.301.421.51
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-21.90%-20.90%-19.90%
Fair Value$3.36$3.85$4.27
Upside / Downside-98.48%-98.26%-98.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.0872.8457.6145.5736.0528.5229.37
Payout Ratio58.64%64.92%71.19%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.0047.2841.0135.3030.1825.6627.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-21.90%-20.90%-19.90%
Year 1 PV (M)43.0843.6344.18
Year 2 PV (M)34.0434.9235.81
Year 3 PV (M)26.7027.7328.80
Year 4 PV (M)20.8021.8823.01
Year 5 PV (M)16.1117.1718.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)317.34338.18360.10
Equity Value (M)458.06483.51510.18
Shares Outstanding (M)56.5756.5756.57
Fair Value$8.10$8.55$9.02
Upside / Downside-96.34%-96.13%-95.92%

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