Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Quest Co., Ltd. (2332.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,875.70 - $27,707.65$25,966.13
Multi-Stage$3,667.24 - $4,015.63$3,838.23
Blended Fair Value$14,902.18
Current Price$1,510.00
Upside886.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS8.99%0.00%48.8845.7841.5238.5133.7431.780.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--6.78%10.27%7.80%14.14%6.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.35%3.27%2.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)746.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)130.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)616.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.3693.3556.01
Cash Retained (M)616.79616.79616.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.36-93.35-56.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)467.42523.44560.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.365.365.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.2097.65104.62
LTM Dividend per Share24.2624.2624.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.2097.65104.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend111.46121.91128.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,875.70$25,966.13$27,707.65
Upside / Downside487.79%1,619.61%1,734.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)746.82795.36847.06902.12960.761,023.211,053.90
Payout Ratio17.41%31.93%46.45%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)130.03253.95393.43549.97725.20920.88974.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)235.49237.73239.96
Year 2 PV (M)338.32344.77351.27
Year 3 PV (M)438.56451.15463.98
Year 4 PV (M)536.27556.89578.10
Year 5 PV (M)631.48661.98693.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,477.6618,321.8319,198.32
Equity Value (M)19,657.7820,574.3521,525.28
Shares Outstanding (M)5.365.365.36
Fair Value$3,667.24$3,838.23$4,015.63
Upside / Downside142.86%154.19%165.94%

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