Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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1&1 AG (1U1.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.77 - $8.22$6.97
Multi-Stage$8.65 - $9.52$9.08
Blended Fair Value$8.03
Current Price$18.64
Upside-56.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-19.46%0.050.050.050.050.050.051.600.000.540.51
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.02%0.00%0.00%-96.88%0.00%-100.00%5.99%17.74%
Dividend Yield--0.33%0.32%0.49%0.25%0.21%0.26%4.84%0.00%1.14%1.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)150.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)142.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.1918.8711.32
Cash Retained (M)142.15142.15142.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.19-18.87-11.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)111.96123.28130.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)176.71176.71176.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.700.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.750.79
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.77$6.97$8.22
Upside / Downside-69.05%-62.58%-55.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)150.97149.46147.97146.50145.04143.60147.91
Payout Ratio5.84%22.67%39.50%56.34%73.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.8233.8858.4582.53106.12129.24136.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.62%9.62%9.62%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)30.6030.9131.22
Year 2 PV (M)47.6748.6549.64
Year 3 PV (M)60.7862.6664.58
Year 4 PV (M)70.5873.5176.52
Year 5 PV (M)77.6281.6685.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,241.991,306.661,373.99
Equity Value (M)1,529.241,604.051,681.83
Shares Outstanding (M)176.71176.71176.71
Fair Value$8.65$9.08$9.52
Upside / Downside-53.57%-51.30%-48.94%

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