Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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LHN Limited (1730.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.40 - $2.36$1.82
Multi-Stage$2.68 - $2.95$2.82
Blended Fair Value$2.32
Current Price$0.47
Upside389.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.020.020.020.020.010.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.80%14.07%1.77%128.71%0.00%-100.00%-50.80%-10.29%-9.60%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%6.06%5.34%5.27%4.22%0.00%1.16%0.76%0.72%0.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.696.053.63
Cash Retained (M)38.8338.8338.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.69-6.05-3.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.1432.7735.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)418.85418.85418.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.27%0.73%1.73%
Fair Value$1.40$1.82$2.36
Upside / Downside195.14%284.15%399.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.4448.7949.1449.5049.8650.2251.73
Payout Ratio19.85%33.88%47.91%61.94%75.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.6116.5323.5430.6637.8845.2047.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.27%0.73%1.73%
Year 1 PV (M)15.3915.5415.70
Year 2 PV (M)20.4120.8221.24
Year 3 PV (M)24.7525.5026.27
Year 4 PV (M)28.4729.6330.82
Year 5 PV (M)31.6333.2434.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,003.311,054.631,108.03
Equity Value (M)1,123.951,179.361,236.98
Shares Outstanding (M)418.85418.85418.85
Fair Value$2.68$2.82$2.95
Upside / Downside467.44%495.42%524.50%

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