Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Park Systems Corp. (140860.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$163,615.50 - $469,737.67$256,174.71
Multi-Stage$107,528.39 - $117,616.74$112,480.51
Blended Fair Value$184,327.61
Current Price$285,500.00
Upside-35.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS33.06%0.00%398.35397.31247.03171.88115.1295.4975.8046.7746.020.00
YoY Growth--0.26%60.84%43.72%49.30%20.55%25.98%62.07%1.62%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.24%0.16%0.13%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,693.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,471.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,221.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,138.725,711.703,427.02
Cash Retained (M)42,221.6742,221.6742,221.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,138.72-5,711.70-3,427.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)33,082.9436,509.9638,794.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,760.825,253.995,582.77
LTM Dividend per Share499.63499.63499.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,760.825,253.995,582.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,260.455,753.626,082.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$163,615.50$256,174.71$469,737.67
Upside / Downside-42.69%-10.27%64.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,693.6248,663.7151,826.8555,195.5958,783.3162,604.2264,482.35
Payout Ratio7.60%24.08%40.56%57.04%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,471.9611,717.5721,020.4531,483.2043,217.2956,343.8059,646.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,659.6910,760.7310,861.77
Year 2 PV (M)17,396.2717,727.6218,062.09
Year 3 PV (M)23,702.8124,383.2425,076.56
Year 4 PV (M)29,599.5830,737.9031,908.74
Year 5 PV (M)35,105.9936,801.6238,562.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)630,750.45661,215.94692,847.40
Equity Value (M)747,214.80781,627.05817,318.72
Shares Outstanding (M)6.956.956.95
Fair Value$107,528.39$112,480.51$117,616.74
Upside / Downside-62.34%-60.60%-58.80%

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