Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Sunjuice Holdings Co., Limited (1256.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.83 - $147.74$119.24
Multi-Stage$116.25 - $127.59$121.81
Blended Fair Value$120.53
Current Price$169.11
Upside-28.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.21%9.74%6.576.4712.9511.956.185.614.533.363.204.00
YoY Growth--1.54%-50.00%8.33%93.55%10.00%24.00%34.82%5.00%-20.00%54.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%2.66%3.89%4.08%1.40%3.19%2.81%2.35%2.43%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)325.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.4640.9124.55
Cash Retained (M)325.81325.81325.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.46-40.91-24.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)260.35284.90301.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.9833.9833.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.668.398.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.668.398.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.718.438.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Fair Value$94.83$119.24$147.74
Upside / Downside-43.92%-29.49%-12.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.31334.53341.92349.46357.18365.06376.01
Payout Ratio0.46%18.37%36.27%54.18%72.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.5061.44124.03189.35257.49328.55347.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Year 1 PV (M)55.6056.1456.69
Year 2 PV (M)101.55103.57105.61
Year 3 PV (M)140.29144.49148.77
Year 4 PV (M)172.63179.55186.68
Year 5 PV (M)199.31209.35219.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,280.333,445.633,617.52
Equity Value (M)3,949.704,138.734,335.07
Shares Outstanding (M)33.9833.9833.98
Fair Value$116.25$121.81$127.59
Upside / Downside-31.26%-27.97%-24.55%

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