Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lundin Gold Inc. (0R4M.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.65 - $23.57$20.07
Multi-Stage$26.51 - $29.01$27.73
Blended Fair Value$23.90
Current Price$50.01
Upside-52.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.600.390.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--51.55%101.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.96%2.85%1.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)615.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)376.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)239.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.0276.8946.13
Cash Retained (M)239.04239.04239.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.02-76.89-46.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.02162.15192.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)241.38241.38241.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.670.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.561.561.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.670.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.042.232.36
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.65$20.07$23.57
Upside / Downside-66.71%-59.87%-52.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)615.09608.94602.85596.82590.86584.95602.50
Payout Ratio61.14%66.91%72.68%78.46%84.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)376.06407.45438.17468.24497.66526.45557.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)366.66370.41374.15
Year 2 PV (M)354.85362.12369.48
Year 3 PV (M)341.24351.80362.56
Year 4 PV (M)326.38339.91353.85
Year 5 PV (M)310.71326.89343.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,698.824,943.505,198.26
Equity Value (M)6,398.666,694.627,002.04
Shares Outstanding (M)241.38241.38241.38
Fair Value$26.51$27.73$29.01
Upside / Downside-46.99%-44.54%-41.99%

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