Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Autoneum Holding AG (0QOB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$161.89 - $271.71$210.07
Multi-Stage$303.56 - $333.72$318.35
Blended Fair Value$264.21
Current Price$138.80
Upside90.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.90%9.22%2.500.001.190.000.002.905.235.233.603.59
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-44.55%0.00%44.98%0.48%246.67%
Dividend Yield--2.09%0.00%1.24%0.00%0.00%2.64%3.74%1.97%1.43%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.829.895.93
Cash Retained (M)48.3048.3048.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.82-9.89-5.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4838.4142.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.805.805.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.606.627.31
LTM Dividend per Share5.315.315.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.606.627.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.9111.9412.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.19%0.81%1.81%
Fair Value$161.89$210.07$271.71
Upside / Downside16.64%51.34%95.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.1079.7480.3981.0481.6982.3584.83
Payout Ratio38.94%49.15%59.36%69.58%79.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8039.1947.7256.3865.1874.1278.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.19%0.81%1.81%
Year 1 PV (M)36.4236.7937.15
Year 2 PV (M)41.2142.0442.88
Year 3 PV (M)45.2546.6348.03
Year 4 PV (M)48.6250.6052.63
Year 5 PV (M)51.3854.0056.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,537.431,616.011,697.77
Equity Value (M)1,760.321,846.061,935.20
Shares Outstanding (M)5.805.805.80
Fair Value$303.56$318.35$333.72
Upside / Downside118.71%129.36%140.43%

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