Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SÜSS MicroTec SE (0Q3C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.77 - $42.30$34.58
Multi-Stage$56.86 - $62.67$59.71
Blended Fair Value$47.15
Current Price$46.56
Upside1.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.210.170.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%25.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.57%0.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.357.094.26
Cash Retained (M)51.0051.0051.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.35-7.09-4.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.6543.9146.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.0518.0518.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.202.432.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.202.432.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.512.752.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.77$34.58$42.30
Upside / Downside-40.35%-25.73%-9.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.7456.1755.6155.0554.5053.9655.58
Payout Ratio10.11%26.09%42.06%58.04%74.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.7414.6523.3931.9540.3448.5651.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)13.5713.7113.85
Year 2 PV (M)20.0720.4820.89
Year 3 PV (M)25.3926.1826.98
Year 4 PV (M)29.6930.9232.19
Year 5 PV (M)33.1034.8336.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)904.52951.621,000.66
Equity Value (M)1,026.351,077.741,131.20
Shares Outstanding (M)18.0518.0518.05
Fair Value$56.86$59.71$62.67
Upside / Downside22.13%28.25%34.61%

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