Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Strabag SE (0MKP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$510.86 - $1,419.94$1,330.66
Multi-Stage$211.19 - $231.29$221.05
Blended Fair Value$775.86
Current Price$80.70
Upside861.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.76%16.33%1.821.401.506.130.920.950.950.870.580.44
YoY Growth--29.53%-6.67%-75.51%569.05%-3.82%0.06%9.19%51.00%30.00%11.11%
Dividend Yield--2.75%3.63%3.81%16.91%3.04%4.59%3.22%2.71%1.58%1.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)826.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)240.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)585.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)165.28103.3061.98
Cash Retained (M)585.87585.87585.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-165.28-103.30-61.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)420.60482.58523.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)115.46115.46115.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.644.184.54
LTM Dividend per Share2.082.082.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.644.184.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.736.266.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Fair Value$510.86$1,330.66$1,419.94
Upside / Downside533.03%1,548.90%1,659.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)826.38877.95932.74990.951,052.791,118.491,152.04
Payout Ratio29.10%41.28%53.46%65.64%77.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)240.51362.44498.66650.47819.291,006.641,065.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Year 1 PV (M)337.37340.58343.78
Year 2 PV (M)432.06440.31448.64
Year 3 PV (M)524.61539.71555.09
Year 4 PV (M)615.05638.76663.16
Year 5 PV (M)703.43737.49772.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,772.3322,826.5823,921.28
Equity Value (M)24,384.8525,523.4226,704.80
Shares Outstanding (M)115.46115.46115.46
Fair Value$211.19$221.05$231.29
Upside / Downside161.70%173.92%186.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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