Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

AMSC Asa (0JE5.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General TransportationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.91 - $6.95$5.92
Multi-Stage$7.09 - $7.80$7.44
Blended Fair Value$6.68
Current Price$0.15
Upside4,490.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.16%-2.40%0.202.780.420.350.300.270.270.310.390.35
YoY Growth---92.92%555.24%19.59%16.67%12.50%0.00%-12.08%-20.88%11.55%38.89%
Dividend Yield--7.38%104.76%10.70%9.63%8.63%14.51%6.96%10.27%11.69%10.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)53.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.806.754.05
Cash Retained (M)53.7953.7953.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.80-6.75-4.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.9947.0449.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.8671.8671.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.650.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.650.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.91$5.92$6.95
Upside / Downside3,275.31%3,968.45%4,678.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.0253.4852.9552.4251.8951.3852.92
Payout Ratio0.43%18.35%36.26%54.17%72.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.239.8119.2028.4037.4146.2448.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.838.929.01
Year 2 PV (M)15.5515.8716.19
Year 3 PV (M)20.6921.3321.99
Year 4 PV (M)24.5325.5526.60
Year 5 PV (M)27.2928.7130.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)412.69434.18456.56
Equity Value (M)509.59534.56560.53
Shares Outstanding (M)71.8671.8671.86
Fair Value$7.09$7.44$7.80
Upside / Downside4,773.25%5,012.10%5,260.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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