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Definitive Analysis

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Tong Yang Life Insurance Co., Ltd. (082640.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72,925.92 - $212,289.59$198,946.44
Multi-Stage$28,730.15 - $31,466.44$30,073.09
Blended Fair Value$114,509.76
Current Price$8,050.00
Upside1,322.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS39.86%14.89%534.60133.01619.39219.78229.7799.90359.64130.85409.29359.84
YoY Growth--301.92%-78.53%181.82%-4.35%130.00%-72.22%174.85%-68.03%13.74%169.72%
Dividend Yield--10.46%2.28%16.26%3.32%5.43%4.25%7.84%1.76%3.99%3.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)166,536.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,466.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)144,070.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33,307.2420,817.0212,490.21
Cash Retained (M)144,070.18144,070.18144,070.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-33,307.24-20,817.02-12,490.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)110,762.95123,253.16131,579.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)156.01156.01156.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share709.96790.02843.39
LTM Dividend per Share144.00144.00144.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share709.96790.02843.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend853.96934.02987.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$72,925.92$198,946.44$212,289.59
Upside / Downside805.91%2,371.38%2,537.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)166,536.18177,361.03188,889.50201,167.32214,243.19228,169.00235,014.07
Payout Ratio13.49%28.79%44.09%59.40%74.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,466.0051,066.0283,289.12119,485.47160,035.45205,352.10217,388.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47,394.3347,843.5648,292.80
Year 2 PV (M)71,742.5873,109.0774,488.46
Year 3 PV (M)95,520.8598,262.91101,056.95
Year 4 PV (M)118,739.06123,305.43128,002.26
Year 5 PV (M)141,407.00148,237.01155,328.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,007,465.314,201,027.384,401,997.53
Equity Value (M)4,482,269.124,691,785.364,909,166.42
Shares Outstanding (M)156.01156.01156.01
Fair Value$28,730.15$30,073.09$31,466.44
Upside / Downside256.90%273.58%290.89%

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