Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DIO Corporation (039840.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,341.48 - $4,953.66$4,111.71
Multi-Stage$6,137.95 - $6,751.94$6,438.94
Blended Fair Value$5,275.33
Current Price$17,450.00
Upside-69.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%72.060.000.0061.620.000.0077.630.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.00%0.00%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,084.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,643.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,440.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,216.82760.51456.31
Cash Retained (M)4,440.644,440.644,440.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,216.82-760.51-456.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,223.813,680.123,984.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share221.26252.58273.46
LTM Dividend per Share112.80112.80112.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share221.26252.58273.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend334.06365.37386.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3,341.48$4,111.71$4,953.66
Upside / Downside-80.85%-76.44%-71.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,084.116,023.275,963.045,903.415,844.375,785.935,959.51
Payout Ratio27.01%39.61%52.21%64.81%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,643.482,385.823,113.163,825.714,523.695,207.345,512.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,190.892,213.252,235.61
Year 2 PV (M)2,625.232,679.082,733.47
Year 3 PV (M)2,962.513,054.133,147.62
Year 4 PV (M)3,216.813,350.133,487.55
Year 5 PV (M)3,400.403,577.473,761.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)75,035.6478,942.9283,011.30
Equity Value (M)89,431.4993,816.9898,377.39
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5714.5714.57
Fair Value$6,137.95$6,438.94$6,751.94
Upside / Downside-64.83%-63.10%-61.31%

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