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Definitive Analysis

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Kiwoom Securities Co., Ltd. (039490.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,298,600.12 - $7,438,095.30$6,970,584.60
Multi-Stage$973,495.97 - $1,065,817.31$1,018,807.89
Blended Fair Value$3,994,696.25
Current Price$245,000.00
Upside1,530.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.03%27.16%3,252.463,296.243,900.262,852.692,134.151,763.131,060.65715.61571.12236.70
YoY Growth---1.33%-15.49%36.72%33.67%21.04%66.23%48.22%25.30%141.28%-19.54%
Dividend Yield--2.56%2.75%3.86%2.89%1.69%2.52%1.23%0.66%0.70%0.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,013,067.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)205,678.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)807,389.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202,613.53126,633.4675,980.07
Cash Retained (M)807,389.01807,389.01807,389.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-202,613.53-126,633.46-75,980.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)604,775.49680,755.56731,408.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.0927.0927.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share22,327.3625,132.4227,002.46
LTM Dividend per Share7,593.337,593.337,593.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share22,327.3625,132.4227,002.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend29,920.6932,725.7534,595.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,298,600.12$6,970,584.60$7,438,095.30
Upside / Downside838.20%2,745.14%2,935.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,013,067.641,078,917.041,149,046.651,223,734.681,303,277.441,387,990.471,429,630.18
Payout Ratio20.30%34.24%48.18%62.12%76.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)205,678.63369,443.26553,628.30760,196.50991,279.481,249,191.421,322,407.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)342,437.60345,683.45348,929.31
Year 2 PV (M)475,648.00484,707.75493,852.98
Year 3 PV (M)605,378.44622,756.68640,464.35
Year 4 PV (M)731,696.36759,835.34788,778.23
Year 5 PV (M)854,668.05895,948.83938,809.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,359,013.5824,487,262.6725,658,692.51
Equity Value (M)26,368,842.0227,596,194.7228,869,526.91
Shares Outstanding (M)27.0927.0927.09
Fair Value$973,495.97$1,018,807.89$1,065,817.31
Upside / Downside297.35%315.84%335.03%

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