Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kyobo Securities Co ., Ltd (030610.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37,741.11 - $208,731.61$72,648.64
Multi-Stage$46,408.75 - $51,019.85$48,670.33
Blended Fair Value$60,659.48
Current Price$9,150.00
Upside562.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.68%0.00%36.1528.93114.12190.57123.66108.1892.7352.2346.0930.73
YoY Growth--24.99%-74.65%-40.12%54.11%14.30%16.67%77.52%13.33%50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.62%0.57%2.25%2.49%1.57%1.83%0.97%0.53%0.49%0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)121,581.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,159.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)113,422.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,316.3715,197.739,118.64
Cash Retained (M)113,422.44113,422.44113,422.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,316.37-15,197.73-9,118.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)89,106.0898,224.71104,303.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.88112.88112.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share789.36870.13923.99
LTM Dividend per Share72.2872.2872.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share789.36870.13923.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend861.64942.42996.27
WACC / Discount Rate5.10%5.10%5.10%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Fair Value$37,741.11$72,648.64$208,731.61
Upside / Downside312.47%693.97%2,181.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)121,581.83126,149.39130,888.54135,805.73140,907.65146,201.23150,587.27
Payout Ratio6.71%23.37%40.03%56.68%73.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,159.3929,479.6352,390.2576,980.68103,344.77131,581.11139,293.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.10%5.10%5.10%
Growth Rate2.76%3.76%4.76%
Year 1 PV (M)27,778.0628,048.3928,318.72
Year 2 PV (M)46,516.8747,426.6548,345.25
Year 3 PV (M)64,405.3166,303.9968,239.63
Year 4 PV (M)81,472.0284,690.0788,002.52
Year 5 PV (M)97,744.76102,594.36107,634.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,920,912.085,165,062.725,418,809.42
Equity Value (M)5,238,829.105,494,126.185,759,350.10
Shares Outstanding (M)112.88112.88112.88
Fair Value$46,408.75$48,670.33$51,019.85
Upside / Downside407.20%431.92%457.59%

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