Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dongnam Chemical Co., Ltd. (023450.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,631.05 - $28,900.35$23,384.73
Multi-Stage$43,005.46 - $47,345.84$45,132.96
Blended Fair Value$34,258.84
Current Price$33,950.00
Upside0.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.90%0.00%814.52817.77596.114,510.3110,430.881,371.95225.7588.4058.6258.63
YoY Growth---0.40%37.18%-86.78%-56.76%660.30%507.74%155.37%50.82%-0.03%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%2.61%1.40%7.31%19.79%5.25%0.94%0.40%0.27%0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,782.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,117.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,665.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,356.56847.85508.71
Cash Retained (M)3,665.423,665.423,665.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,356.56-847.85-508.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,308.862,817.573,156.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share675.82824.72923.99
LTM Dividend per Share912.47912.47912.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share675.82824.72923.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,588.281,737.191,836.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18,631.05$23,384.73$28,900.35
Upside / Downside-45.12%-31.12%-14.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,782.786,714.956,647.806,581.326,515.516,450.356,643.86
Payout Ratio45.96%54.77%63.58%72.38%81.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,117.363,677.644,226.404,763.825,290.075,805.326,145.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,422.983,457.913,492.84
Year 2 PV (M)3,661.353,736.453,812.32
Year 3 PV (M)3,841.153,959.944,081.15
Year 4 PV (M)3,970.114,134.654,304.26
Year 5 PV (M)4,055.114,266.274,486.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,973.29134,637.15141,575.77
Equity Value (M)146,923.98154,192.37161,752.47
Shares Outstanding (M)3.423.423.42
Fair Value$43,005.46$45,132.96$47,345.84
Upside / Downside26.67%32.94%39.46%

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