Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hankuk Carbon Co., Ltd. (017960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29,418.40 - $72,370.30$43,925.68
Multi-Stage$20,232.30 - $22,120.75$21,159.34
Blended Fair Value$32,542.51
Current Price$32,700.00
Upside-0.48%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.71%4.33%109.34112.96130.33156.4099.4282.8582.85107.70100.0599.36
YoY Growth---3.20%-13.33%-16.67%57.31%20.00%0.00%-23.08%7.65%0.70%38.83%
Dividend Yield--0.81%1.05%1.06%1.33%0.81%1.49%1.01%1.72%1.50%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66,242.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,398.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,843.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,248.408,280.254,968.15
Cash Retained (M)59,843.6959,843.6959,843.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,248.40-8,280.25-4,968.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)46,595.2951,563.4454,875.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.5149.5149.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share941.051,041.391,108.28
LTM Dividend per Share129.22129.22129.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share941.051,041.391,108.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,070.281,170.611,237.51
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$29,418.40$43,925.68$72,370.30
Upside / Downside-10.04%34.33%121.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66,242.0070,547.7375,133.3380,017.0085,218.1090,757.2893,479.99
Payout Ratio9.66%25.73%41.80%57.86%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,398.3118,149.9531,402.2746,300.7163,003.2781,681.5586,469.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.34%9.34%9.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16,443.9616,599.8216,755.69
Year 2 PV (M)25,776.4326,267.4026,763.00
Year 3 PV (M)34,433.4335,421.8936,429.09
Year 4 PV (M)42,450.8844,083.4245,762.60
Year 5 PV (M)49,863.0052,271.4054,771.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)832,814.36873,039.61914,804.37
Equity Value (M)1,001,782.061,047,683.551,095,286.73
Shares Outstanding (M)49.5149.5149.51
Fair Value$20,232.30$21,159.34$22,120.75
Upside / Downside-38.13%-35.29%-32.35%

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