Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shinyoungwacoal,Inc. (005800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26,344.19 - $109,266.59$45,318.08
Multi-Stage$78,917.73 - $87,046.64$82,902.18
Blended Fair Value$64,110.13
Current Price$14,180.00
Upside352.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13250.21150.13150.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-40.00%66.67%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.60%1.39%1.05%1.54%2.13%1.23%1.84%0.93%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,274.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,350.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,924.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,654.981,034.36620.62
Cash Retained (M)6,924.906,924.906,924.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,654.98-1,034.36-620.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,269.925,890.536,304.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
LTM Dividend per Share150.13150.13150.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend736.16805.18851.19
WACC / Discount Rate2.80%2.80%2.80%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Fair Value$26,344.19$45,318.08$109,266.59
Upside / Downside85.78%219.59%670.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,274.908,358.378,442.688,527.848,613.868,700.758,961.77
Payout Ratio16.31%31.05%45.79%60.53%75.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,350.002,595.403,865.795,161.546,483.047,830.678,289.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.80%2.80%2.80%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Year 1 PV (M)2,499.632,524.632,549.62
Year 2 PV (M)3,585.763,657.833,730.61
Year 3 PV (M)4,610.994,750.704,893.20
Year 4 PV (M)5,577.835,804.306,037.58
Year 5 PV (M)6,488.706,819.667,163.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)686,900.96721,936.71758,387.70
Equity Value (M)709,663.88745,493.81782,762.70
Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
Fair Value$78,917.73$82,902.18$87,046.64
Upside / Downside456.54%484.64%513.87%

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