Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $114,843.30 - $408,686.02 | $375,311.25 |
| Multi-Stage | $52,290.81 - $57,201.49 | $54,701.20 |
| Blended Fair Value | $215,006.22 | |
| Current Price | $10,240.00 | |
| Upside | 1,999.67% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 13.50% | 14.97% | 449.94 | 298.57 | 303.78 | 260.38 | 377.72 | 238.86 | 194.98 | 269.40 | 285.31 | 205.35 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 50.70% | -1.71% | 16.67% | -31.06% | 58.13% | 22.51% | -27.63% | -5.58% | 38.94% | 84.16% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.51% | 4.30% | 6.02% | 4.57% | 7.72% | 5.65% | 3.64% | 4.10% | 4.25% | 2.54% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 363,206.53 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 140,936.58 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 222,269.95 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 72,641.31 | 45,400.82 | 27,240.49 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 222,269.95 | 222,269.95 | 222,269.95 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -72,641.31 | -45,400.82 | -27,240.49 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 149,628.65 | 176,869.14 | 195,029.46 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 176.74 | 176.74 | 176.74 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 846.59 | 1,000.71 | 1,103.46 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 797.41 | 797.41 | 797.41 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 846.59 | 1,000.71 | 1,103.46 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1,643.99 | 1,798.12 | 1,900.87 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.01% | 7.01% | 7.01% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $114,843.30 | $375,311.25 | $408,686.02 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,021.52% | 3,565.15% | 3,891.07% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 363,206.53 | 386,814.96 | 411,957.93 | 438,735.20 | 467,252.98 | 497,624.43 | 512,553.16 |
| Payout Ratio | 38.80% | 49.04% | 59.28% | 69.52% | 79.76% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 140,936.58 | 189,704.66 | 244,217.13 | 305,014.72 | 372,684.18 | 447,861.99 | 474,111.67 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.01% | 7.01% | 7.01% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 175,612.53 | 177,277.11 | 178,941.68 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 209,281.65 | 213,267.87 | 217,291.71 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 241,965.43 | 248,911.39 | 255,989.02 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 273,685.00 | 284,210.15 | 295,036.00 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 304,461.05 | 319,166.63 | 334,435.03 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 8,037,068.64 | 8,425,262.06 | 8,828,312.56 |
| Equity Value (M) | 9,242,074.30 | 9,668,095.21 | 10,110,006.00 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 176.74 | 176.74 | 176.74 |
| Fair Value | $52,290.81 | $54,701.20 | $57,201.49 |
| Upside / Downside | 410.65% | 434.19% | 458.61% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBB | Hubbell Incorporated | 1.14% | $5.26 | 32.54% |
| MATX | Matson, Inc. | 1.14% | $1.42 | 10.47% |
| SNX | TD SYNNEX Corporation | 1.14% | $1.74 | 18.66% |
| ARMK | Aramark | 1.13% | $0.42 | 33.95% |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. | 1.13% | $0.25 | 21.30% |
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 1.13% | $0.61 | 21.38% |
| WHD | Cactus, Inc. | 1.13% | $0.53 | 21.20% |
| CFBK | CF Bankshares Inc. | 1.12% | $0.28 | 10.89% |
| LII | Lennox International Inc. | 1.12% | $5.59 | 23.57% |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | 1.12% | $0.66 | 61.92% |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co., Inc. | 1.11% | $1.07 | 34.36% |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp. | 1.11% | $0.91 | 24.93% |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings Inc. | 1.11% | $0.30 | 37.27% |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products, Inc. | 1.11% | $0.27 | 21.86% |
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | 1.11% | $2.33 | 34.47% |
| 0HOU.L | BorgWarner Inc. | 1.10% | $0.50 | 80.60% |
| 0K3H.L | Motorola Solutions, Inc. | 1.10% | $4.20 | 33.55% |
| FBK | FB Financial Corporation | 1.10% | $0.62 | 32.29% |
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | 1.09% | $1.16 | 23.05% |
| VRE | Veris Residential, Inc. | 1.09% | $0.16 | 26.28% |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. | 1.08% | $1.07 | 12.88% |
| CSV | Carriage Services, Inc. | 1.08% | $0.45 | 14.21% |
| LFUS | Littelfuse, Inc. | 1.08% | $2.83 | 59.57% |
| OSBC | Old Second Bancorp, Inc. | 1.08% | $0.21 | 15.92% |
| TPX | Tempur Sealy International, Inc. | 1.08% | $0.62 | 42.01% |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corporation | 1.08% | $0.21 | 17.16% |
| BVH | Bluegreen Vacations Holding Corporation | 1.07% | $0.80 | 18.69% |
| HNNAZ | Hennessy Advisors, Inc. 4.875% Notes due 2026 | 1.07% | $0.27 | 21.11% |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. | 1.07% | $0.46 | 12.57% |
| ZBH | Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | 1.07% | $0.96 | 23.70% |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | 1.05% | $2.06 | 12.63% |
| NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. | 1.05% | $1.01 | 36.06% |
| 0H9N.L | Aecom | 1.04% | $1.00 | 23.78% |
| BODY | The Beachbody Company, Inc. | 1.04% | $0.10 | 1.61% |
| LYTS | LSI Industries Inc. | 1.04% | $0.19 | 24.09% |
| UNTY | Unity Bancorp, Inc. | 1.04% | $0.53 | 10.03% |
| CTVA | Corteva, Inc. | 1.03% | $0.70 | 29.41% |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | 1.03% | $1.59 | 35.03% |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | 1.02% | $0.76 | 13.03% |
| CRAI | CRA International, Inc. | 1.02% | $2.05 | 23.94% |
| CTA-PB | E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company | 1.02% | $0.70 | 29.41% |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | 1.02% | $0.36 | 33.06% |
| HSII | Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. | 1.02% | $0.60 | 34.74% |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy, Inc. | 1.02% | $2.02 | 11.09% |
| 0HTG.L | Cardinal Health, Inc. | 1.01% | $2.07 | 31.03% |
| 0I4X.L | Crown Holdings, Inc. | 1.01% | $1.03 | 12.58% |
| CMC | Commercial Metals Company | 1.01% | $0.72 | 96.19% |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. | 1.01% | $0.36 | 27.67% |
| KNX | Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | 1.00% | $0.52 | 59.68% |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc. | 1.00% | $0.96 | 11.84% |