Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daewoong Co., Ltd. (003090.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$337,125.98 - $397,209.86$372,235.30
Multi-Stage$101,788.36 - $111,663.23$106,633.78
Blended Fair Value$239,434.54
Current Price$23,050.00
Upside938.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.67%-0.64%200.46198.61101.68103.89105.64105.64105.64187.83200.14200.14
YoY Growth--0.93%95.33%-2.13%-1.66%0.00%0.00%-43.76%-6.15%0.00%-6.41%
Dividend Yield--1.07%0.98%0.67%0.33%0.32%0.94%0.53%0.89%1.91%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81,847.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,632.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)73,214.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,369.4210,230.896,138.53
Cash Retained (M)73,214.1373,214.1373,214.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,369.42-10,230.89-6,138.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)56,844.7162,983.2467,075.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8840.8840.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,390.541,540.701,640.81
LTM Dividend per Share211.18211.18211.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,390.541,540.701,640.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,601.721,751.881,851.99
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Fair Value$337,125.98$372,235.30$397,209.86
Upside / Downside1,362.59%1,514.90%1,623.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81,847.1186,953.4992,378.4698,141.88104,264.87110,769.88114,092.98
Payout Ratio10.55%26.44%42.33%58.22%74.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,632.9822,988.9039,102.5257,137.3077,270.2299,692.89105,536.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.24%6.24%7.24%
Year 1 PV (M)21,685.9421,892.0022,098.06
Year 2 PV (M)34,795.6335,460.0436,130.74
Year 3 PV (M)47,962.2649,342.5350,749.03
Year 4 PV (M)61,185.9963,544.9665,971.48
Year 5 PV (M)74,467.0378,072.9181,817.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,920,979.214,110,842.734,307,990.97
Equity Value (M)4,161,076.074,359,155.174,564,757.42
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8840.8840.88
Fair Value$101,788.36$106,633.78$111,663.23
Upside / Downside341.60%362.62%384.44%

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