Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Suzhou Hengmingda Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (002947.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$372.68 - $439.08$411.48
Multi-Stage$298.23 - $327.32$312.51
Blended Fair Value$361.99
Current Price$48.44
Upside647.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS36.43%0.00%0.460.280.140.150.290.100.000.180.220.22
YoY Growth--64.85%97.57%-3.72%-49.83%200.45%0.00%-100.00%-18.79%2.71%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.19%0.92%0.64%0.73%1.57%0.37%0.00%1.14%1.40%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)553.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)150.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)403.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)110.7969.2441.55
Cash Retained (M)403.86403.86403.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-110.79-69.24-41.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)293.07334.62362.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.90250.90250.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.171.331.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.171.331.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.771.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$372.68$411.48$439.08
Upside / Downside669.37%749.47%806.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)553.95589.96628.30669.14712.64758.96781.73
Payout Ratio27.09%39.68%52.26%64.84%77.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)150.09234.07328.33433.86551.72683.06723.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)234.25236.47238.69
Year 2 PV (M)328.84335.10341.43
Year 3 PV (M)434.87447.35460.07
Year 4 PV (M)553.43574.71596.60
Year 5 PV (M)685.71718.83753.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)72,590.1576,096.2979,736.61
Equity Value (M)74,827.2578,408.7582,126.61
Shares Outstanding (M)250.90250.90250.90
Fair Value$298.23$312.51$327.32
Upside / Downside515.67%545.14%575.73%

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