Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Chengdu Spaceon Electronics Co., Ltd. (002935.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.21 - $1.80$1.49
Multi-Stage$1.89 - $2.08$1.98
Blended Fair Value$1.74
Current Price$15.67
Upside-88.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.07%-8.17%0.070.100.070.120.080.060.010.040.040.00
YoY Growth---30.67%30.00%-40.00%62.50%20.00%658.02%-77.96%-14.47%813.23%-96.90%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.65%0.45%0.80%0.74%0.57%0.07%0.53%0.62%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)63.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.707.934.76
Cash Retained (M)42.3942.3942.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.70-7.93-4.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.6934.4537.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)423.26423.26423.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-0.93%0.07%1.07%
Fair Value$1.21$1.49$1.80
Upside / Downside-92.25%-90.47%-88.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)63.4863.5263.5763.6163.6563.7065.61
Payout Ratio33.23%44.58%55.94%67.29%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.0928.3235.5642.8050.0657.3360.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.86%8.86%8.86%
Growth Rate-0.93%0.07%1.07%
Year 1 PV (M)25.7526.0126.27
Year 2 PV (M)29.4130.0030.61
Year 3 PV (M)32.2033.1834.19
Year 4 PV (M)34.2435.6537.10
Year 5 PV (M)35.6637.5039.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)644.50677.69712.23
Equity Value (M)801.76840.04879.81
Shares Outstanding (M)423.26423.26423.26
Fair Value$1.89$1.98$2.08
Upside / Downside-87.91%-87.33%-86.73%

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