Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Industry

Sector

Jiangsu Tongda Power Technology Co.,Ltd. (002576.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.85 - $11.93$9.03
Multi-Stage$6.76 - $7.40$7.08
Blended Fair Value$8.05
Current Price$17.98
Upside-55.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.81%6.86%0.060.040.100.130.060.060.010.010.040.05
YoY Growth--35.59%-58.38%-18.66%122.76%-10.74%432.42%19.82%-77.12%-13.63%68.69%
Dividend Yield--0.39%0.29%0.55%1.06%0.48%0.70%0.08%0.08%0.18%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)84.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.9410.596.35
Cash Retained (M)83.9483.9483.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.94-10.59-6.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.9973.3577.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.06165.06165.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.440.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.440.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Fair Value$6.85$9.03$11.93
Upside / Downside-61.88%-49.79%-33.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)84.7288.3792.1896.15100.29104.61107.75
Payout Ratio0.93%18.74%36.56%54.37%72.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.7916.5633.7052.2872.4094.1599.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate3.31%4.31%5.31%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9815.1315.27
Year 2 PV (M)27.5728.1128.65
Year 3 PV (M)38.6939.8240.98
Year 4 PV (M)48.4650.3652.32
Year 5 PV (M)57.0059.8262.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)928.80974.631,022.25
Equity Value (M)1,115.501,167.861,222.21
Shares Outstanding (M)165.06165.06165.06
Fair Value$6.76$7.08$7.40
Upside / Downside-62.41%-60.65%-58.82%

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