Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sinosteel New Materials Co., Ltd. (002057.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.29 - $62.19$47.00
Multi-Stage$7.61 - $8.33$7.96
Blended Fair Value$27.48
Current Price$10.96
Upside150.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.50%48.12%0.240.260.170.120.070.060.060.010.010.00
YoY Growth---9.92%58.97%43.81%77.63%15.92%-1.88%575.26%5.83%104.14%-16.25%
Dividend Yield--2.93%3.68%1.62%1.31%0.93%0.82%1.08%0.16%0.12%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)236.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.3529.6017.76
Cash Retained (M)194.47194.47194.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.35-29.60-17.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.11164.87176.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)757.13757.13757.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.29$47.00$62.19
Upside / Downside48.65%328.87%467.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)236.77252.16268.55286.00304.59324.39334.13
Payout Ratio17.87%32.29%46.72%61.15%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.3081.43125.47174.88230.19291.95309.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.3076.0276.73
Year 2 PV (M)107.30109.34111.40
Year 3 PV (M)138.31142.28146.32
Year 4 PV (M)168.35174.83181.49
Year 5 PV (M)197.46207.00216.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,073.635,318.695,573.13
Equity Value (M)5,760.356,028.156,305.97
Shares Outstanding (M)757.13757.13757.13
Fair Value$7.61$7.96$8.33
Upside / Downside-30.58%-27.36%-24.01%

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