Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hefei Snowky Elect (001387.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.91 - $7.60$6.16
Multi-Stage$11.10 - $12.23$11.65
Blended Fair Value$8.91
Current Price$13.50
Upside-34.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.270.000.000.030.040.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13,997.44%-54.41%-84.95%-25.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.98%0.01%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.7811.747.04
Cash Retained (M)56.6756.6756.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.78-11.74-7.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.8944.9349.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)177.40177.40177.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.250.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.91$6.16$7.60
Upside / Downside-63.60%-54.38%-43.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.9192.9792.0491.1290.2189.3091.98
Payout Ratio39.65%49.72%59.79%69.86%79.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.2346.2255.0363.6572.1080.3785.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)42.9943.4243.86
Year 2 PV (M)47.5948.5749.55
Year 3 PV (M)51.1952.7854.39
Year 4 PV (M)53.9356.1658.47
Year 5 PV (M)55.9058.8261.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,718.141,807.601,900.76
Equity Value (M)1,969.742,067.352,168.88
Shares Outstanding (M)177.40177.40177.40
Fair Value$11.10$11.65$12.23
Upside / Downside-17.76%-13.68%-9.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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