Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co., Ltd. (000977.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.12 - $187.37$82.88
Multi-Stage$30.74 - $33.61$32.15
Blended Fair Value$57.51
Current Price$74.42
Upside-22.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.23%16.81%0.410.480.520.110.200.230.250.120.080.09
YoY Growth---14.83%-7.99%376.08%-46.13%-11.42%-7.32%105.05%51.13%-10.19%2.98%
Dividend Yield--0.76%1.08%1.47%0.40%0.74%0.59%0.99%0.53%0.49%0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,479.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)488.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,990.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)495.91309.94185.97
Cash Retained (M)1,990.831,990.831,990.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-495.91-309.94-185.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,494.921,680.891,804.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,472.141,472.141,472.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.021.141.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.021.141.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.12$82.88$187.37
Upside / Downside-33.99%11.36%151.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,479.542,640.712,812.362,995.163,189.853,397.193,499.10
Payout Ratio19.71%33.77%47.83%61.88%75.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)488.71891.711,345.041,853.522,422.433,057.473,236.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)814.93822.66830.38
Year 2 PV (M)1,123.391,144.791,166.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,414.791,455.411,496.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,689.841,754.821,821.67
Year 5 PV (M)1,949.182,043.332,141.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,255.1940,102.9342,021.39
Equity Value (M)45,247.3347,323.9449,477.69
Shares Outstanding (M)1,472.141,472.141,472.14
Fair Value$30.74$32.15$33.61
Upside / Downside-58.70%-56.80%-54.84%

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