Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VIB Vermögen AG (VIH1.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.25 - $93.43$51.74
Multi-Stage$46.70 - $51.35$48.98
Blended Fair Value$50.36
Current Price$7.08
Upside611.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-40.63%-18.86%0.040.000.370.490.580.540.530.480.420.37
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-24.03%-15.65%7.69%3.05%9.33%14.66%13.48%14.47%
Dividend Yield--0.44%0.00%2.15%1.35%2.00%2.38%2.14%2.20%1.97%2.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.275.793.48
Cash Retained (M)45.0145.0145.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.27-5.79-3.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7439.2241.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.0533.0533.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.081.191.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.081.191.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate5.61%5.61%5.61%
Growth Rate2.17%3.17%4.17%
Fair Value$33.25$51.74$93.43
Upside / Downside369.66%630.82%1,219.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.3347.8049.3250.8852.4954.1655.78
Payout Ratio2.85%20.28%37.71%55.14%72.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.329.7018.6028.0638.0948.7451.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.61%5.61%5.61%
Growth Rate2.17%3.17%4.17%
Year 1 PV (M)9.099.189.27
Year 2 PV (M)16.3516.6717.00
Year 3 PV (M)23.1323.8124.51
Year 4 PV (M)29.4530.6231.82
Year 5 PV (M)35.3337.0938.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,430.251,501.631,575.83
Equity Value (M)1,543.601,619.011,697.35
Shares Outstanding (M)33.0533.0533.05
Fair Value$46.70$48.98$51.35
Upside / Downside559.58%591.80%625.28%

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