Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Banco de Valores S.A. (VALO.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,283.12 - $8,557.04$6,789.19
Multi-Stage$1,058.71 - $1,158.80$1,107.84
Blended Fair Value$3,948.51
Current Price$310.50
Upside1,171.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS81.06%0.00%18.454.071.140.000.000.950.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--353.76%255.39%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.95%1.59%1.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39,466.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,886.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,579.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,893.244,933.282,959.97
Cash Retained (M)30,579.4130,579.4130,579.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,893.24-4,933.28-2,959.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,686.1725,646.1427,619.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)917.24917.24917.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share24.7327.9630.11
LTM Dividend per Share9.699.699.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share24.7327.9630.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.4237.6539.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,283.12$6,789.19$8,557.04
Upside / Downside635.30%2,086.53%2,655.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39,466.2242,031.5344,763.5847,673.2150,771.9754,072.1455,694.31
Payout Ratio22.52%36.01%49.51%63.01%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,886.8115,137.2422,162.6730,037.4638,842.3348,664.9351,517.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.09%7.09%7.09%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14,002.2614,134.9814,267.70
Year 2 PV (M)18,963.7919,325.0019,689.62
Year 3 PV (M)23,774.8524,457.3425,152.77
Year 4 PV (M)28,438.8229,532.4930,657.42
Year 5 PV (M)32,958.9934,550.9236,203.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)852,952.41894,150.33936,925.00
Equity Value (M)971,091.131,016,151.071,062,896.28
Shares Outstanding (M)917.24917.24917.24
Fair Value$1,058.71$1,107.84$1,158.80
Upside / Downside240.97%256.79%273.20%

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