Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ultimate Products Plc (ULTP.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.79 - $2.78$2.25
Multi-Stage$2.68 - $2.93$2.80
Blended Fair Value$2.52
Current Price$1.01
Upside149.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.03%0.00%0.060.070.070.060.050.030.030.040.040.00
YoY Growth---14.01%2.49%29.50%9.55%91.11%-4.98%-31.68%-5.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%5.26%5.75%5.05%2.51%3.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.272.041.23
Cash Retained (M)4.414.414.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.27-2.04-1.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.142.373.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.0287.0287.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate0.40%1.40%2.40%
Fair Value$1.79$2.25$2.78
Upside / Downside77.58%122.65%174.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.3316.5616.7917.0317.2717.5118.03
Payout Ratio73.00%76.40%79.80%83.20%86.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.9212.6513.4014.1714.9515.7616.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.80%8.80%8.80%
Growth Rate0.40%1.40%2.40%
Year 1 PV (M)11.5211.6311.74
Year 2 PV (M)11.1011.3211.54
Year 3 PV (M)10.6811.0011.33
Year 4 PV (M)10.2510.6711.10
Year 5 PV (M)9.8310.3310.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)179.45188.57198.05
Equity Value (M)232.83243.52254.62
Shares Outstanding (M)87.0287.0287.02
Fair Value$2.68$2.80$2.93
Upside / Downside164.93%177.09%189.72%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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