Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Financière de Tubize S.A. (TUB.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.59 - $158.24$106.81
Multi-Stage$57.46 - $62.75$60.06
Blended Fair Value$83.44
Current Price$133.00
Upside-37.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.61%7.29%0.970.860.750.680.620.560.540.520.500.48
YoY Growth--12.79%14.68%10.28%9.68%10.72%3.62%3.82%4.00%4.18%0.13%
Dividend Yield--0.68%1.20%1.06%0.75%0.75%0.88%0.89%0.79%0.84%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)182.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.5522.8413.71
Cash Retained (M)136.42136.42136.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.55-22.84-13.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.87113.58122.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.5144.5144.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.242.552.76
LTM Dividend per Share1.041.041.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.242.552.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.283.593.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate5.29%6.29%7.29%
Fair Value$75.59$106.81$158.24
Upside / Downside-43.16%-19.69%18.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)182.76194.26206.48219.47233.28247.96255.40
Payout Ratio25.35%38.28%51.21%64.14%77.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.3374.37105.74140.77179.79223.17236.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.87%9.87%9.87%
Growth Rate5.29%6.29%7.29%
Year 1 PV (M)67.0567.6968.32
Year 2 PV (M)85.9687.6089.26
Year 3 PV (M)103.18106.15109.17
Year 4 PV (M)118.82123.40128.11
Year 5 PV (M)132.97139.41146.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,049.822,149.032,252.04
Equity Value (M)2,557.812,673.272,792.99
Shares Outstanding (M)44.5144.5144.51
Fair Value$57.46$60.06$62.75
Upside / Downside-56.80%-54.84%-52.82%

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