Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Trøndelag Sparebank (TRSB.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.36 - $199.06$163.21
Multi-Stage$267.85 - $294.83$281.08
Blended Fair Value$222.14
Current Price$116.96
Upside89.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%3.271.421.552.250.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--130.10%-8.22%-31.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.94%1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.479.045.43
Cash Retained (M)49.4449.4449.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.47-9.04-5.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.9740.4044.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.328.459.21
LTM Dividend per Share4.794.794.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.328.459.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.1113.2514.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$131.36$163.21$199.06
Upside / Downside12.32%39.54%70.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.3671.6470.9270.2169.5168.8170.88
Payout Ratio31.67%43.34%55.00%66.67%78.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22.9231.0539.0146.8154.4561.9365.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.7129.0129.30
Year 2 PV (M)33.3734.0534.74
Year 3 PV (M)37.0338.1739.34
Year 4 PV (M)39.8341.4943.19
Year 5 PV (M)41.9044.0946.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,099.491,156.751,216.36
Equity Value (M)1,280.341,343.541,409.28
Shares Outstanding (M)4.784.784.78
Fair Value$267.85$281.08$294.83
Upside / Downside129.01%140.32%152.08%

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