Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,700.71 - $12,867.00$12,058.26
Multi-Stage$1,869.71 - $2,042.71$1,954.63
Blended Fair Value$7,006.45
Current Price$2,300.00
Upside204.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.69%15.76%55.3658.5736.3130.8126.9626.7133.8729.6026.350.00
YoY Growth---5.48%61.31%17.84%14.29%0.95%-21.15%14.42%12.33%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.78%3.14%1.68%1.07%1.30%2.95%4.29%2.65%2.42%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,453,472.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,241,463.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)212,009.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)290,694.40181,684.00109,010.40
Cash Retained (M)212,009.00212,009.00212,009.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-290,694.40-181,684.00-109,010.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)-78,685.4030,325.00102,998.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22,465.1622,465.1622,465.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-3.501.354.58
LTM Dividend per Share55.2655.2655.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-3.501.354.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend51.7656.6159.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,700.71$12,058.26$12,867.00
Upside / Downside104.38%424.27%459.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,453,472.001,547,947.681,648,564.281,755,720.961,869,842.821,991,382.602,051,124.08
Payout Ratio85.41%86.33%87.25%88.17%89.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,241,463.001,336,357.061,438,342.161,547,939.221,665,706.911,792,244.341,897,289.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,241,129.391,252,893.651,264,657.91
Year 2 PV (M)1,240,655.791,264,286.801,288,140.74
Year 3 PV (M)1,240,045.291,275,642.541,311,914.59
Year 4 PV (M)1,239,300.931,286,960.951,335,982.58
Year 5 PV (M)1,238,425.701,298,242.131,360,347.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,803,822.0637,533,160.0639,328,683.89
Equity Value (M)42,003,379.1743,911,186.1245,889,727.57
Shares Outstanding (M)22,465.1622,465.1622,465.16
Fair Value$1,869.71$1,954.63$2,042.71
Upside / Downside-18.71%-15.02%-11.19%

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