Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Stantec Inc. (STN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$662.30 - $780.30$731.26
Multi-Stage$468.91 - $514.65$491.36
Blended Fair Value$611.31
Current Price$150.05
Upside307.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.99%10.82%0.820.740.690.630.600.560.540.490.400.34
YoY Growth--10.72%8.57%8.16%6.32%6.25%4.40%10.45%20.36%20.29%13.95%
Dividend Yield--0.69%0.67%0.87%1.01%1.11%1.56%1.67%1.54%1.17%1.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)447.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)99.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)348.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.5155.9433.57
Cash Retained (M)348.35348.35348.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.51-55.94-33.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)258.84292.41314.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)114.07114.07114.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.272.562.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.272.562.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.143.433.63
WACC / Discount Rate1.44%1.44%1.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$662.30$731.26$780.30
Upside / Downside341.39%387.34%420.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)447.55476.64507.62540.62575.76613.18631.58
Payout Ratio22.17%35.73%49.30%62.87%76.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)99.20170.31250.25339.87440.07551.87584.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.44%1.44%1.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.31167.89169.47
Year 2 PV (M)238.64243.18247.77
Year 3 PV (M)316.48325.56334.82
Year 4 PV (M)400.17415.56431.38
Year 5 PV (M)490.04513.71538.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,876.0654,381.6956,983.22
Equity Value (M)53,487.7056,047.6058,704.95
Shares Outstanding (M)114.07114.07114.07
Fair Value$468.91$491.36$514.65
Upside / Downside212.51%227.46%242.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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