Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - ReinsuranceSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.73 - $60.74$38.87
Multi-Stage$18.67 - $20.41$19.52
Blended Fair Value$29.20
Current Price$18.09
Upside61.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS42.57%82.99%0.110.000.000.000.010.020.020.020.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-52.50%-15.73%0.00%8,381.58%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.24%0.20%0.15%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)198.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.6624.7914.87
Cash Retained (M)194.30194.30194.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.66-24.79-14.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)154.64169.51179.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.74150.74150.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.121.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.121.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.051.151.22
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.73$38.87$60.74
Upside / Downside47.77%114.89%235.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)198.30211.19224.92239.54255.11271.69279.84
Payout Ratio2.02%19.61%37.21%54.81%72.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.0041.4283.69131.28184.71244.52258.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.65%9.65%9.65%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.4237.7838.13
Year 2 PV (M)68.3069.6070.92
Year 3 PV (M)96.7999.57102.40
Year 4 PV (M)123.03127.76132.62
Year 5 PV (M)147.13154.24161.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,340.972,454.042,571.44
Equity Value (M)2,813.652,942.993,077.13
Shares Outstanding (M)150.74150.74150.74
Fair Value$18.67$19.52$20.41
Upside / Downside3.18%7.93%12.85%

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