Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Samart Corporation Public Company Limited (SAMART.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.23 - $3.02$2.63
Multi-Stage$6.25 - $6.92$6.58
Blended Fair Value$4.60
Current Price$6.05
Upside-23.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.160.020.000.150.100.100.080.310.73
YoY Growth---100.00%682.68%0.00%-100.00%50.00%0.00%25.00%-74.19%-57.53%-16.09%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.32%0.49%0.00%1.70%2.21%1.30%0.91%2.04%4.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)473.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)100.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.6259.1435.48
Cash Retained (M)372.47372.47372.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.62-59.14-35.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)277.85313.33336.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,006.501,006.501,006.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.310.33
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.310.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-8.61%-7.61%-6.61%
Fair Value$2.23$2.63$3.02
Upside / Downside-63.19%-56.48%-50.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)473.10437.11403.86373.14344.76318.53328.09
Payout Ratio21.27%35.02%48.76%62.51%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)100.63153.06196.93233.24262.89286.68303.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-8.61%-7.61%-6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)141.73143.28144.83
Year 2 PV (M)168.86172.57176.33
Year 3 PV (M)185.19191.33197.61
Year 4 PV (M)193.28201.88210.76
Year 5 PV (M)195.16206.08217.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,401.655,703.706,019.12
Equity Value (M)6,285.876,618.856,966.13
Shares Outstanding (M)1,006.501,006.501,006.50
Fair Value$6.25$6.58$6.92
Upside / Downside3.23%8.70%14.40%

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