Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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RWE AG (RWE.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$295.49 - $694.82$651.15
Multi-Stage$103.11 - $112.82$107.87
Blended Fair Value$379.51
Current Price$35.43
Upside971.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.89%-3.49%1.010.910.830.780.670.691.390.220.551.45
YoY Growth--11.21%9.85%5.91%16.87%-3.34%-50.34%544.65%-60.93%-61.96%0.85%
Dividend Yield--3.05%2.93%2.08%1.97%1.99%2.88%5.87%1.07%3.55%12.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,579.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,206.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,373.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)515.80322.38193.43
Cash Retained (M)1,373.001,373.001,373.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-515.80-322.38-193.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)857.201,050.631,179.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)738.17738.17738.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.161.421.60
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.161.421.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.803.063.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$295.49$651.15$694.82
Upside / Downside734.02%1,737.86%1,861.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,579.002,746.642,925.173,115.303,317.803,533.453,639.46
Payout Ratio46.76%55.41%64.06%72.70%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,206.001,521.911,873.792,264.982,699.113,180.113,366.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,415.631,429.051,442.47
Year 2 PV (M)1,621.231,652.101,683.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,822.841,875.171,928.49
Year 4 PV (M)2,020.542,098.242,178.17
Year 5 PV (M)2,214.372,321.332,432.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)67,016.0370,252.9373,613.71
Equity Value (M)76,110.6479,628.8283,278.49
Shares Outstanding (M)738.17738.17738.17
Fair Value$103.11$107.87$112.82
Upside / Downside191.02%204.47%218.42%

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