Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Qiagen N.V. (QIA.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.18 - $34.70$27.21
Multi-Stage$25.09 - $27.51$26.28
Blended Fair Value$26.74
Current Price$44.24
Upside-39.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)405.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.0750.6730.40
Cash Retained (M)351.13351.13351.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.07-50.67-30.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)270.05300.46320.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)218.71218.71218.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.371.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.371.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.481.621.71
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate1.94%2.94%3.94%
Fair Value$21.18$27.21$34.70
Upside / Downside-52.12%-38.50%-21.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)405.37417.27429.52442.13455.10468.46482.51
Payout Ratio13.38%28.71%44.03%59.35%74.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.24119.78189.11262.41339.85421.61446.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.07%9.07%9.07%
Growth Rate1.94%2.94%3.94%
Year 1 PV (M)108.75109.82110.88
Year 2 PV (M)155.89158.96162.07
Year 3 PV (M)196.40202.24208.19
Year 4 PV (M)230.94240.13249.60
Year 5 PV (M)260.12273.13286.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,535.774,762.664,998.55
Equity Value (M)5,487.875,746.956,015.95
Shares Outstanding (M)218.71218.71218.71
Fair Value$25.09$26.28$27.51
Upside / Downside-43.28%-40.60%-37.82%

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