Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Pratama Widya Tbk (PTPW.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$337.64 - $479.65$407.60
Multi-Stage$503.73 - $553.64$528.20
Blended Fair Value$467.90
Current Price$930.00
Upside-49.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0019.360.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44,634.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)39,634.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,926.815,579.253,347.55
Cash Retained (M)39,634.0339,634.0339,634.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,926.81-5,579.25-3,347.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)30,707.2334,054.7836,286.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)878.19878.19878.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.9738.7841.32
LTM Dividend per Share5.695.695.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.9738.7841.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend40.6644.4747.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$337.64$407.60$479.65
Upside / Downside-63.69%-56.17%-48.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44,634.0344,187.6943,745.8243,308.3642,875.2742,446.5243,719.92
Payout Ratio11.20%26.96%42.72%58.48%74.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,000.0011,913.7818,688.7925,327.1131,830.7938,201.8740,440.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10,740.6910,850.2910,959.89
Year 2 PV (M)15,189.5915,501.1615,815.90
Year 3 PV (M)18,558.0719,131.9919,717.63
Year 4 PV (M)21,026.9921,898.4622,796.74
Year 5 PV (M)22,750.8023,935.4825,169.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)354,099.23372,538.00391,737.01
Equity Value (M)442,365.37463,855.39486,196.18
Shares Outstanding (M)878.19878.19878.19
Fair Value$503.73$528.20$553.64
Upside / Downside-45.84%-43.20%-40.47%

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