Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Principal Capital Public Company Limited (PRINC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.56 - $0.81$0.68
Multi-Stage$0.94 - $1.03$0.99
Blended Fair Value$0.83
Current Price$1.93
Upside-56.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%1,533.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.00%0.13%0.01%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)281.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)244.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.2635.1621.10
Cash Retained (M)244.69244.69244.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.26-35.16-21.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)188.43209.53223.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,808.573,808.573,808.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.56$0.68$0.81
Upside / Downside-71.18%-64.78%-57.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)281.30278.49275.70272.94270.21267.51275.54
Payout Ratio13.01%28.41%43.81%59.21%74.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.6179.12120.78161.60201.59240.76254.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)72.2472.9873.72
Year 2 PV (M)100.70102.76104.85
Year 3 PV (M)123.02126.83130.71
Year 4 PV (M)140.13145.93151.92
Year 5 PV (M)152.81160.77169.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,989.213,144.873,306.94
Equity Value (M)3,578.123,754.143,937.19
Shares Outstanding (M)3,808.573,808.573,808.57
Fair Value$0.94$0.99$1.03
Upside / Downside-51.32%-48.93%-46.44%

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