Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pentair plc (PNR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.81 - $106.20$77.78
Multi-Stage$68.09 - $74.63$71.30
Blended Fair Value$74.54
Current Price$110.76
Upside-32.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.42%-3.23%0.920.870.830.800.770.741.131.521.471.39
YoY Growth--4.89%4.76%4.21%4.64%3.59%-34.46%-25.63%3.33%5.14%9.60%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.04%1.51%1.48%1.23%2.48%2.48%3.31%3.48%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)654.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)161.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)492.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)130.8281.7649.06
Cash Retained (M)492.80492.80492.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-130.82-81.76-49.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)361.98411.04443.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)166.13166.13166.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.182.472.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.970.970.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.182.472.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.453.64
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$57.81$77.78$106.20
Upside / Downside-47.81%-29.78%-4.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)654.10676.45699.56723.47748.19773.75796.97
Payout Ratio24.66%37.73%50.80%63.86%76.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)161.30255.21355.35462.04575.60696.38737.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.00%8.00%8.00%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)234.03236.31238.60
Year 2 PV (M)298.80304.67310.59
Year 3 PV (M)356.26366.80377.54
Year 4 PV (M)406.99423.11439.72
Year 5 PV (M)451.51473.99497.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,563.7210,039.8210,534.71
Equity Value (M)11,311.3111,844.7112,398.51
Shares Outstanding (M)166.13166.13166.13
Fair Value$68.09$71.30$74.63
Upside / Downside-38.53%-35.63%-32.62%

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