Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Plan B Media Public Company Limited (PLANB.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.94 - $49.40$46.30
Multi-Stage$6.84 - $7.49$7.16
Blended Fair Value$26.73
Current Price$4.92
Upside443.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.01%11.57%0.190.070.000.000.130.160.040.030.060.03
YoY Growth--173.69%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-19.95%324.68%29.50%-50.05%109.25%-57.29%
Dividend Yield--3.57%0.82%0.00%0.00%1.76%5.43%0.59%0.51%0.97%0.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,067.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)500.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)567.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)213.58133.4980.09
Cash Retained (M)567.60567.60567.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-213.58-133.49-80.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)354.02434.11487.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,298.984,298.984,298.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.94$46.30$49.40
Upside / Downside244.25%841.01%904.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,067.921,137.331,211.261,289.991,373.841,463.141,507.03
Payout Ratio46.85%55.48%64.11%72.74%81.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)500.32630.99776.53938.341,117.891,316.821,394.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)585.61591.16596.71
Year 2 PV (M)668.85681.59694.45
Year 3 PV (M)750.09771.62793.56
Year 4 PV (M)829.35861.24894.05
Year 5 PV (M)906.67950.46995.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,677.8626,918.1128,205.83
Equity Value (M)29,418.4230,774.1832,180.53
Shares Outstanding (M)4,298.984,298.984,298.98
Fair Value$6.84$7.16$7.49
Upside / Downside39.09%45.50%52.15%

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