Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. (PINFRA.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,047.19 - $8,773.20$8,221.77
Multi-Stage$1,302.63 - $1,427.11$1,363.72
Blended Fair Value$4,792.75
Current Price$249.84
Upside1,818.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%5.345.348.015.345.345.345.342.141.070.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-33.33%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%150.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.58%3.01%4.45%3.39%3.42%3.36%2.73%1.19%0.53%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,513.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,513.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,302.762,064.231,238.54
Cash Retained (M)14,513.8114,513.8114,513.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,302.76-2,064.23-1,238.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,211.0512,449.5913,275.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)374.34374.34374.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share29.9533.2635.46
LTM Dividend per Share5.345.345.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share29.9533.2635.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.2938.6040.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,047.19$8,221.77$8,773.20
Upside / Downside1,519.91%3,190.81%3,411.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,513.8117,587.2118,730.3819,947.8521,244.4622,625.3523,304.12
Payout Ratio12.11%27.69%43.27%58.84%74.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,000.004,869.708,104.0111,738.2015,810.6020,362.8221,556.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,532.964,575.934,618.89
Year 2 PV (M)7,021.987,155.727,290.74
Year 3 PV (M)9,467.629,739.4010,016.34
Year 4 PV (M)11,870.4612,326.9612,796.51
Year 5 PV (M)14,231.0414,918.4115,632.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)440,506.89461,783.53483,874.49
Equity Value (M)487,630.95510,499.96534,229.04
Shares Outstanding (M)374.34374.34374.34
Fair Value$1,302.63$1,363.72$1,427.11
Upside / Downside421.39%445.84%471.21%

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