Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pihlajalinna Oyj (PIHLIS.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.34 - $348.73$110.69
Multi-Stage$45.48 - $49.83$47.62
Blended Fair Value$79.15
Current Price$16.00
Upside394.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-19.85%-5.44%0.100.070.380.220.010.300.220.260.040.03
YoY Growth--48.65%-82.77%74.15%2,226.42%-96.81%32.16%-14.48%515.69%62.59%-84.72%
Dividend Yield--0.76%0.85%5.11%1.79%0.08%2.08%2.19%2.07%0.26%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.185.113.07
Cash Retained (M)30.9530.9530.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.18-5.11-3.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.7725.8427.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.5122.5122.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.151.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.151.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.451.591.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Fair Value$60.34$110.69$348.73
Upside / Downside277.15%591.84%2,079.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.9043.0745.3647.7850.3252.9954.58
Payout Ratio24.32%37.46%50.59%63.73%76.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.9516.1322.9530.4538.6747.6950.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9615.1015.25
Year 2 PV (M)19.7320.1120.49
Year 3 PV (M)24.2724.9725.69
Year 4 PV (M)28.5829.6930.84
Year 5 PV (M)32.6834.2835.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)903.73947.89993.75
Equity Value (M)1,023.951,072.051,121.96
Shares Outstanding (M)22.5122.5122.51
Fair Value$45.48$47.62$49.83
Upside / Downside184.25%197.60%211.45%

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