Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Oma Säästöpankki Oyj (OMASP.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.00 - $278.40$244.06
Multi-Stage$35.03 - $38.34$36.65
Blended Fair Value$140.36
Current Price$11.46
Upside1,124.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.38%0.00%0.980.390.440.380.000.120.060.050.040.02
YoY Growth--149.73%-11.59%18.20%0.00%-100.00%97.35%34.01%6.63%113.28%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.27%1.91%2.27%2.08%0.00%2.06%0.83%0.65%0.61%0.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.465.913.55
Cash Retained (M)35.3635.3635.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.46-5.91-3.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.9029.4531.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.7933.7933.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.870.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.870.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.221.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$77.00$244.06$278.40
Upside / Downside571.87%2,029.68%2,329.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.3050.3753.6457.1360.8464.8066.74
Payout Ratio25.24%38.19%51.14%64.09%77.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.9419.2427.4336.6246.8858.3261.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.8017.9718.14
Year 2 PV (M)23.5023.9524.40
Year 3 PV (M)29.0329.8630.71
Year 4 PV (M)34.4035.7237.08
Year 5 PV (M)39.6041.5143.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,039.101,089.291,141.39
Equity Value (M)1,183.421,238.301,295.22
Shares Outstanding (M)33.7933.7933.79
Fair Value$35.03$36.65$38.34
Upside / Downside205.65%219.83%234.53%

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