Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Masterflex SE (MZX.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.35 - $44.73$27.32
Multi-Stage$22.16 - $24.32$23.22
Blended Fair Value$25.27
Current Price$12.55
Upside101.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.47%0.00%0.260.210.120.080.070.070.070.050.000.00
YoY Growth--24.01%71.06%49.87%14.41%0.00%0.00%39.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.47%2.10%1.12%1.27%1.10%1.63%1.12%0.57%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.661.040.62
Cash Retained (M)5.905.905.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.66-1.04-0.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.244.865.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.599.599.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.440.510.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.760.80
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.61%3.61%4.61%
Fair Value$18.35$27.32$44.73
Upside / Downside46.18%117.66%256.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8.308.608.919.239.579.9110.21
Payout Ratio28.96%41.17%53.38%65.58%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.403.544.766.067.448.929.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate2.61%3.61%4.61%
Year 1 PV (M)3.293.333.36
Year 2 PV (M)4.114.194.28
Year 3 PV (M)4.875.025.16
Year 4 PV (M)5.575.796.02
Year 5 PV (M)6.216.526.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)188.53197.89207.63
Equity Value (M)212.58222.73233.28
Shares Outstanding (M)9.599.599.59
Fair Value$22.16$23.22$24.32
Upside / Downside76.57%85.00%93.76%

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