Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Mayfield Group Holdings Limited (MYG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.13 - $1.72$1.41
Multi-Stage$2.38 - $2.62$2.50
Blended Fair Value$1.95
Current Price$1.05
Upside86.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS21.01%0.00%0.030.020.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--53.14%181.62%0.00%-100.00%-97.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.87%1.67%0.00%0.06%0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.371.480.89
Cash Retained (M)7.287.287.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.37-1.48-0.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.905.796.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)92.9592.9592.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.13$1.41$1.72
Upside / Downside7.63%34.07%64.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.8611.7411.6311.5111.3911.2811.62
Payout Ratio38.65%48.92%59.19%69.46%79.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.585.756.887.999.0810.1510.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.325.385.43
Year 2 PV (M)5.916.036.15
Year 3 PV (M)6.366.556.75
Year 4 PV (M)6.696.977.25
Year 5 PV (M)6.937.297.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)190.35200.26210.58
Equity Value (M)221.55232.47243.83
Shares Outstanding (M)92.9592.9592.95
Fair Value$2.38$2.50$2.62
Upside / Downside127.00%138.19%149.83%

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